Disclosure: I worked for the Lamont campaign doing web design and production and some writing for the official blog (from 9/5/06 to 11/07/06).
Tuesday, May 23, 2006
Survey USA May Numbers
The latest SUSA tracking poll is out (conducted on 5/15, well before the convention), and there's not much movement, which is bad news for Lieberman:
- His overall May approval rating is at 59/37 approval/disapproval, pretty much the same as April's 57/38.
- Similarly, his disapproval number among Democrats has solidified at around 40%: it's now 56/40 among Democrats. He has bounced back a bit with independents, but as we all know, they can't vote in August.
- Lieberman's rating among "liberals" (i.e. motivated primary voters) is still in negative terrirory at 48/50.
- Finally, let's compare the ratings of the two senators from Connecticut. Both have similar overall ratings: Dodd is at 55/37 and Lieberman is at 59/37. So, being members of the same party and all, you might expect their support in the state to have a similar profile.
Wrong.
Among Democrats, the difference is stark: Dodd is at 66/27 (+39) while Lieberman is at 56/40 (+16).
But among Republicans, the difference is even more jaw-dropping: Dodd is in negative territory among GOP voters with a rating of 45/47 (-2). But Lieberman is astronomically popular with Republicans, winning an approval rating of 68/27 (+41).
Dodd and Lieberman may be similarly popular in CT overall, but they get their support from entirely different parties. In terms of their bases of support, there's no debate: Connecticut has one Republican and one Democratic senator.
Unfortunately for him, this Republican is running in a Democratic primary.
posted by tparty at 6:03 PM 
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Excellent analysis. Is Lamont mentioned anywhere in the numbers, or just incumbents are rated?
# posted by 
at 6:37 PM
at 6:37 PM
No, it's just a tracking poll of all 50 U.S. senators. Hopefully we'll see some new polls on the race itself soon.
When somebody throws Joe's 56/40 favorable numbers with Dem's at us, thanks to this, we now have something to respond with. (e.g. Perhaps, but he's a lot more popular with Republicans -- doesn't that tell you something?)
That being said, Joe's still got decent numbers and serious name recognition over Ned. There's a lot of serious work that needs to be done.
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That being said, Joe's still got decent numbers and serious name recognition over Ned. There's a lot of serious work that needs to be done.
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