Disclosure: I worked for the Lamont campaign doing web design and production and some writing for the official blog (from 9/5/06 to 11/07/06).

Thursday, July 20, 2006

 

Q-Poll: Lamont 51%, Lieberman 47% (LV)

Lamont is over 50% in the latest Quinnipiac Poll.

Anti-war Connecticut U.S. Senate candidate Ned Lamont has surged to a razor-thin 51 - 47 percent lead over incumbent Sen. Joseph Lieberman among likely Democratic primary voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 55 - 40 percent lead for Sen. Lieberman among likely Democratic primary voters in a June 8 poll by the independent Quinnipiac.


The margin of error of this poll is +/- 3.8, which means technically this is now a dead heat. But even with the large sample size, their LV model is unproven. And this means Lieberman is now going to dump every dirty trick and negative ad - probably $5 million worth - into desperately trying to save his political career, because he knows if he loses the primary, that downward momentum will carry into November. There are two and a half very long weeks to go. This is no time to rest.

Volunteer | Family, Friends, and Neighbors
Comments:
WNPR has a live show now on blogs and their impact (9-10 am). Call in at 860-275-7266 or e-mail at wherewelive@wnpr.org. Can also listen online.
 
The margin of error of this poll is +/- 3.8, which means technically this is now a dead heat.

no, it could also mean that ned is AHEAD of joe by 7.8 percent, as thomas hooker on MLN so astutely pointed out -

the AP reporter that reported this as a "dead heat" is ignorant about what MOEs mean; this AP reporter ignorantly assumed the worst case MOE scenario for ned, and then reported such as fact.
 
Post a Comment



<< Home