Disclosure: I worked for the Lamont campaign doing web design and production and some writing for the official blog (from 9/5/06 to 11/07/06).
Thursday, July 20, 2006
The Numbers
A few more interesting bits from today's dead-heat Quinnipiac poll:
From all accounts, the Lieberman campaign is polling this race extensively and knew these sinking numbers well in advance, which probably explains why he bolted the party on July 3rd. It also probably explains why he was desperate enough to convince Bill Clinton to campaign for him on Monday in Waterbury (assuming Metro-North has a more accurate train schedule for him than Amtrak did for Sen. Biden... remember to switch trains in Bridgeport, Bubba!).
But Bill will have to answer some tough questions, especially if he agrees with Sen. Clinton about the need to support the decision that Connecticut Democrats will make on August 8th.
Update: Wonkette gets the headline right ("Joe Lieberman to Accept Endorsement From Noted Moral Degenerate"), and quotes Joe's feelings about Clinton back in the day:
So, Joe... come crawling back, eh?
- Lieberman's job approval/disapproval among all voters is continuing a steady downward trend, from 63/25 in February to 55/35 now. Among registered Democrats (not likely voters), it now stands at a very precarious 47/44.
- Lieberman's favorability rating is also at an all-time low among all voters, at 45%. The more voters see of him, the less they like him personally. Independents also track very close with Democrats on Lieberman's favorability, at 42% to Democrats' 40%. It's not just Democrats who are turning against Joe.
- About 50% of all CT voters now know enough about Ned Lamont to have an opinion about him, up from about 25% in June and 10% in May. And the more Democrats see of him, the more they like him - he's now at 26%/10% favorable/unfavorable among registered Democrats.
- Lamont (D-CT) is quickly closing the gap in the November three-way race, too. He has gone from 18% in June to 27% in July. Lieberman (Lieberman-CT) is also sinking in the three-way race, down 5 points since June.
- It's clear Alan Schlesinger will not be a factor in November. But his weakness may help Joe, who maintains high approval ratings among Republicans.
From all accounts, the Lieberman campaign is polling this race extensively and knew these sinking numbers well in advance, which probably explains why he bolted the party on July 3rd. It also probably explains why he was desperate enough to convince Bill Clinton to campaign for him on Monday in Waterbury (assuming Metro-North has a more accurate train schedule for him than Amtrak did for Sen. Biden... remember to switch trains in Bridgeport, Bubba!).
But Bill will have to answer some tough questions, especially if he agrees with Sen. Clinton about the need to support the decision that Connecticut Democrats will make on August 8th.
Update: Wonkette gets the headline right ("Joe Lieberman to Accept Endorsement From Noted Moral Degenerate"), and quotes Joe's feelings about Clinton back in the day:
But the truth is, after much reflection, my feelings of disappointment and anger have not dissipated. Except now these feelings have gone beyond my personal dismay to a larger, graver sense of loss for our country, a reckoning of the damage that the President’s conduct has done to the proud legacy of his presidency, and ultimately an accounting of the impact of his actions on our democracy and its moral foundations.
So, Joe... come crawling back, eh?