Disclosure: I worked for the Lamont campaign doing web design and production and some writing for the official blog (from 9/5/06 to 11/07/06).

Thursday, November 02, 2006

 

Polls and the Polling Pollsters

A new Zogby/Reuters poll shows Ned cutting the gap in half since their last poll a couple of weeks ago. It pegs the CT-SEN race as being closer than NJ-SEN (where Menendez has opened up a 12-point lead) and RI-SEN (where Whitehouse has opened up a 14-point lead), and just as close as TN-SEN (where they have Ford 10 points behind Corker).

Again, this is a volitile race. Between the ballot positioning, a major party candidate polling in the single digits, the likelihood of a motivated Democratic turnout, the night-and-day difference between field operations, the vast discrepancy between polls, significant uncertainty about turnout models, and the demonstrated inaccuracy of polls before the primary, a lot is up in the air.

And the debate between the two major parties tonight (Fox 61, 7pm) might make shake things up even more.
Comments:
Just change the name from Tom Kean to Joe Lieberman and a few of the particulars and run this ad:

http://www.dscc.org/news/multimedia/20061101_eye/

the DSCC should be running it for Ned and its a scandal that they're not but it would make a good ad. George Bush would rather have Joe Lieberman elected than Tom Kean.
 
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