The latest Quinnipiac poll shows Ned Lamont (D) surging post-primary, with an 11 point bounce (among RVs) in the three-way race since a month ago. Ned now has the support of 63% of Democrats, compared to the 52% he won in the primary on Tuesday.

Amazingly, Alan Schlesinger (R) gets only 4%, which must be one of the lowest numbers a major party candidate has received in any poll for any statewide office, in any state, ever.

I've been arguing on this blog for months that Joe Lieberman's base voters are right-wing Republicans. And this poll is simply astounding in the way it proves this point. Lieberman wins Republicans 75-13-10 in a three-way race. That's right. He gets 3/4 of the Republican vote, with a Republican candidate in the race. Lamont (D) even outpolls Schlesinger (R) by 3 points among Republicans.

The trends are in Lamont's favor. He's solidifying his support among Democrats. He's already proven he can energize the Democratic party to turn out and vote for him in record numbers. And he'll likely continue to make gains among Independents and Republicans, who haven't been part of this campaign yet.

Trends for Lieberman do not look good. His disapproval ratings are +5 since July, up to an all time high among RVs. His unfavorable rating is also +5 since July, also at an all time high. The number who believe he should be re-elected is -5, down to 51.

Joe Lieberman (Lieberman) needs to maintain this stratospheric level of support from Republicans in order to have any chance of winning in November. Expect more support to flow his way from GOP donors and polticians, and zero pressure on Schlesinger to leave.

The real story of this race is Lieberman (Lieberman) rapidly turning into Lieberman (R).

You'll notice there's no talk from Lieberman or Gerstein about being an "independent Democrat" or "petitioning Democrat" anymore. Lieberman is now the GOP candidate.